Labour gains polling lead as Reform UK faces record lows

YouGov’s latest survey indicates a six-point advantage for Labour, with 27% of the vote. This marks the largest lead for Andy Burnham’s party since polling began in January 2025.

Reform UK currently holds 20% of the vote, matching its lowest recorded level since the start of last year. The Conservatives trail with 21% of the vote share.

The Liberal Democrats secured 12% in the poll, and the Green Party garnered 10%.

YouGov noted that the results “reaffirm the substantial shift in voting intention polls seen in recent months.” Comparing recent data to the period before the Makerfield by-election reveals Labour up nine points and the Conservatives up four, while the Greens are down five points, Reform UK are down four, and the Lib Dems are down two.

Reform UK previously led in the polls for over a year until Burnham assumed office. The party has recently faced difficulties, including scrutiny surrounding a £5 million donation from cryptocurrency billionaire Christopher Harborne and two investigative reports by journalists.

Farage suggested on Sunday that he anticipates a negative finding from Parliament’s standards commissioner regarding the £5 million gift. He stated, “Do I think the establishment would find against me, the leader of an insurgent party? What a question to ask.”

The donations from Ben Delo and Harborne have renewed calls for stricter limits on political contributions.

Reform UK is also contending with voter attrition to Restore Britain, a right-wing party founded by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, which currently holds 3% in the polls.

Last month, Reform UK encountered a crisis following an undercover investigation by ITV Exposure, which exposed racist, sexual, and violent rhetoric among its members. The investigation revealed comments such as referring to Black children as “animals” and suggesting asylum seekers should be placed in concentration camps, prompting accusations of “appalling behaviour” and “extreme racism.”