Texas Governor race sees shifting predictions amid data center debate
Prediction markets are showing a tightening race in the upcoming Texas gubernatorial election, although Governor Greg Abbott remains the frontrunner according to these alternative indicators. These platforms utilize different methods than traditional political polls and should not be considered replacements for them.
Lupe Hinojosa, the Democratic candidate, aims to be the first governor from her party in Texas for over three decades. Her campaign has criticized Abbott’s past support for data center development within the state.
In November 2025, Abbott celebrated a $40 billion investment from Google, including the construction of three new data centers, declaring Texas would become the “epicenter of AI development.” However, Abbott has since altered his stance as public sentiment regarding data centers has become more negative.
Governor Abbott initiated an audit of data centers seeking connection to the state’s electrical grid in August. Subsequently, in September, he paused the approval of all data center permits pending a review of the existing application backlog.
Hinojosa’s campaign platform includes an immediate halt to data center construction until the state legislature establishes regulations for the industry.
Texas early in-person voting concluded on Friday, with over 7.7 million residents already submitting their ballots.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship involving customer acquisition and a minority investment.
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“Texas governor race tightens in prediction markets, but Abbott remains favored”
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