Weather threat looms over central US as midterm elections approach

It will draw substantial moisture from the tropical Pacific, initially posing a flooding risk in the Southwest this weekend. Heavy rainfall is anticipated across Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, and Colorado Sunday into Monday, increasing the chance of flash flooding. The system is then projected to move into the central US by Tuesday.

Rainy conditions are likely across a broad area on Election Day, spanning the Great Plains, Upper Midwest, Lower Mississippi Valley, and western Gulf Coast. Key races in Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas could be affected by the weather.

While the probability of widespread flooding remains low, voters traveling to polling places may encounter standing water on roadways. Thunderstorms are possible along the storm’s southern edge, with some potentially becoming severe from eastern Texas through Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Tennessee.

Gusty winds are also expected across a large portion of the affected states, particularly in the Plains. Kansas could experience wind gusts between 30 to 40 mph, while Nebraska may see gusts up to 50 mph.

Weather often influences voter turnout, with rain typically suppressing participation and sunshine encouraging it. Over 49 million people have already voted early.

Much of the East Coast and the West are expected to experience dry conditions. Coastal areas of the Southeast and northern California may see light showers.

Temperatures across the nation’s eastern half are forecast to be 5 to 20 degrees Fahrenheit above average. Only the Southwest is expected to have temperatures slightly below average. Forecasts are subject to change as the storm’s path becomes clearer.